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Navigating the uncharted territory of the Anthropocene climate

Navigating the uncharted territory of the Anthropocene climate

How much carbon must be removed to prevent too much global warming? Is it possible to alter the Earth's energy balance by managing incoming solar radiation? These are some of the questions in the NAVIGATE project.

NAVIGATE (Navigating the uncharted territory of the Anthropocene climate) is a four-year research project (2025-2029) funded by the Research Council of Norway. It is motivated by the unprecedented warming records over the past ten years, leading year 2024 as the warmest calendar year on record, and the first full year to breach the 1.5 °C warming above preindustrial level.

Using state-of-the-art climate modeling tools, the project team strives to investigate future options and pathways to realizing the Paris Agreement’s climate target. In addition to uncovering the global climate impact, Navigate will pay particular focus on environmental impacts in the northern high latitude regions, for decadal to centennial time horizons.

Objectives

Primary objectives:

  • To investigate the near- and long-term global and polar response of Earth system components, interactions, and feedbacks to various mitigation pathways to 1.5°-2°C global warming.

Secondary objectvies:

  • To apply a state-of-the-art Earth System Model in a fully interactive manner (including climate intervention measures) to simulate scenarios with multiple mitigation options that are consistent with Paris Agreement to year 2300.
  • To determine the efficacy and side effects of climate interventions vs emission reductions in alleviating near- and long-term climate change impacts in 1.5° and 2°C global warming scenarios.
  • To characterize the long-term legacy of human-induced climate change and climate interventions on the terrestrial and marine systems and carbon cycle.
  • To provide policy-relevant comprehensive knowledge of climate impacts in the polar regions across mitigation scenarios.

Contact

Jerry Tjiputra

Research Professor - Bergen

jetj@norceresearch.no
+47 56 10 75 59

Project facts

Name

Navigating the uncharted territory of the Anthropocene climate

Status

Active

Duration

01.04.25 - 31.03.29

Location

Bergen

Project website

navigate.norceresearch.no/

Research areas

Research group

Research Topics

Funding

Research Council of Norway (RCN)

Prosjekteier

NORCE

Project members

Norman Steinert
Dirk Jan Leo Olivie
Rosie Fisher

Samarbeidspartnere

NORCE, Cicero, Meterologisk Institutt, Høgskulen på Vestlandet, Bjerknessenteret for klimaforskning
Publications
Marine ecosystem role in setting up preindustrial and future climate – Tjiputra, Jerry; Couespel, Damien; Sanders, Richard. 2025, Nature Communications. UIB, NORCE.
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Postal Address: P.O.B 22 Nygårdstangen
NO-5838 Bergen

E-mail: post@norceresearch.no

Phone: +47 56 10 70 00

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