I have a broad background in Earth system modelling with a particular interest in the interactions of biogeochemical cycles with the climate system. Over the past years, I have been one of the main developers of the ocean biogeochemistry module of the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM). I am involved into the efforts of the Global Carbon Project to quantify the contemporary global to regional carbon sinks. More recently, I became also interested in assessing climate mitigation pathways and mitigation options. Given the huge mitigation challenges that have accumulated over the past decades, I am interested in assessing the feasibility of Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) through methods such as bio-energy combined with CCS or Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement among others. My contribution to such assessments is through a global perspective of an Earth system modeller with a focus on Earth system feedbacks and biogeochemical cycles.
Jörg Schwinger
Senior Researcher
jrsc@norceresearch.no
+47 56 10 75 51
Jahnebakken 5, 5007 Bergen, Norway

Division
Climate & Environment
Research themes
Research Groups
More information about Jörg
Projects
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Academic articleIrreversible Land Water Availability Changes From a Potential ITCZ Shift During Temperature Overshoot– Earth's Future 2025
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Academic articleCMIP6 models agree on similar carbon cycle feedbacks between enhancing terrestrial and marine carbon sinks– Environmental Research Letters 2025
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Academic articleEvaluation of global fire simulations in CMIP6 Earth system models– Geoscientific Model Development 2024
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Conference lectureInfluence of AMOC decline and recovery on ZEC and TCRE– An assessment of TCRE and ZEC 2024
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Academic articleCarbon cycle feedbacks in an idealized simulation and a scenario simulation of negative emissions in CMIP6 Earth system models– Biogeosciences 2024
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Academic articleSimulated Abrupt Shifts in Aerobic Habitats of Marine Species in the Past, Present, and Future– Earth's Future 2024
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Academic articleAERA-MIP: emission pathways, remaining budgets, and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 and 2 °C global warming stabilization– Earth System Dynamics (ESD) 2024
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Academic articleNet primary production annual maxima in the North Atlantic projected to shift in the 21st century– Biogeosciences 2024
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Academic articleOn the emission-path dependency of the efficiency of ocean alkalinity enhancement– Environmental Research Letters 2024
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Academic articleA Synthesis of Global Coastal Ocean Greenhouse Gas Fluxes– Global Biogeochemical Cycles 2024
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Academic articleMore Frequent Abrupt Marine Environmental Changes Expected– Geophysical Research Letters 2024
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Conference lectureCE2COAST: Case Study 7: Norway.– Norkyst Working Group meeting 2024
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Academic articleSimulations of ocean deoxygenation in the historical era: insights from forced and coupled models– Frontiers in Marine Science 2023
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Academic articleMagnitude, Trends, and Variability of the Global Ocean Carbon Sink From 1985 to 2018– Global Biogeochemical Cycles 2023
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Academic articleIrreversible loss in marine ecosystem habitability after a temperature overshoot– Communications Earth & Environment 2023
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Conference lectureResponse of the Greenland Ice Sheet to temperature overshoot scenarios– EGU General Assembly 2023 2023
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Conference lectureRegional response of the Greenland ice sheet to overshoot scenarios– BCCR Regional Climate Information Mini-Workshop 2023
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Academic articleGlobal Surface Ocean Acidification Indicators From 1750 to 2100– Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 2023
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Conference lectureConstraining ocean carbon sink projections in CMIP6 models– EGU 2023 2023
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Academic articleThe representation of alkalinity and the carbonate pump from CMIP5 to CMIP6 Earth system models and implications for the carbon cycle– Biogeosciences 2023
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Academic articleClimate-driven variability of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink– Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 2023
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Academic articleGlobal Carbon Budget 2023– Earth System Science Data 2023
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Academic articleRiverine impact on future projections of marine primary production and carbon uptake– Biogeosciences 2023
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Academic articleSeasonal Variability of the Surface Ocean Carbon Cycle: A Synthesis– Global Biogeochemical Cycles 2023
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Conference lectureLessons from COVID-19 emission reduction simulations with NorESM2– CACTI (Composition Air quality Climate inTeractions Initiative) workshop 2023 2023
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Conference lectureResponse of the Greenland Ice Sheet to temperature overshoot scenarios– Greenland Ice Sheet stability - Lessons from the past Workshop 2023
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Conference lectureResponse of the Greenland Ice Sheet to temperature overshoot scenarios– Joint CESM Land Ice - Polar Climate Working Group meeting 2023
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Conference lectureEmit now, mitigate later? Simulating the Earth system response to zero and negative emissions– Bjerknes Seminar 2022
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Academic articleEmit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations– Earth System Dynamics (ESD) 2022
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Academic articleStratification constrains future heat and carbon uptake in the Southern Ocean between 30°S and 55°S– Nature Communications 2022
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Academic articleHow Is the Ocean Anthropogenic Carbon Reservoir Filled?– Global Biogeochemical Cycles 2022
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Academic articleGlobal Carbon Budget 2021– Earth System Science Data 2022
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Conference lectureCarbon cycle feedbacks in an idealized and a scenario simulation of carbon dioxide removal in CMIP6 Earth system models– EGU General Assembly 2022
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Academic articleEvaluating the biological pump efficiency of the Last Glacial Maximum ocean using d13C– Climate of the Past 2021
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Academic articleCompatible fossil fuel CO2 emissions in the CMIP6 Earth system models’ historical and shared socioeconomic pathway experiments of the twenty-first century– Journal of Climate 2021
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Academic articleThe response of terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycling under different aerosol-based radiation management geoengineering– Earth System Dynamics (ESD) 2021
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Academic articleImplications of temperature overshoot dynamics for climate and carbon dioxide removal policies in the DICE model– Environmental Research Letters 2021
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Conference lectureSkill assessment of a pan-Arctic downscaling ocean biogeochemical model (A20)– CE2COAST workshop M3.2 2021
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Conference lectureEfficient carbon drawdown allows for a high future carbon uptake in the North Atlantic– EGU General Assembly 2021 2021
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Academic articleGlobal Carbon Budget 2020– Earth System Science Data 2020
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Academic articleOverview of the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM2) and key climate response of CMIP6 DECK, historical, and scenario simulations– Geoscientific Model Development 2020
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Academic articleTwenty-first century ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, and upper-ocean nutrient and primary production decline from CMIP6 model projections– Biogeosciences 2020
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Academic articleOcean biogeochemistry in the Norwegian Earth System Model version 2 (NorESM2)– Geoscientific Model Development 2020
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Conference lectureStrength and reversibility of the ocean carbon sink under negative emissions– EGU 2020 2020
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Conference lectureOn the Potential of the Southern Ocean Biological Pump to Maintain the Ocean Carbon Sink under Negative Emissions– Ocean Sciences 2020 2020
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Academic articleIs there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from CO2– Biogeosciences 2020
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Academic literature reviewThe impacts of ocean acidification on marine trace gases and the implications for atmospheric chemistry and climate– Proceedings of the Royal Society. Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 2020
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Conference lectureParis agreement, carbon budgets and negative emissions– NORCE Climate Science Day 2020
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Academic articleGlobal carbon budget 2019– Earth System Science Data 2019
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Academic articleThe response of permafrost and high latitude ecosystems under large scale stratospheric aerosol injection and its termination– Earth's Future 2019
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Academic articleDecadal trends in the ocean carbon sink– Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS) 2019
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Academic articleDescription and evaluation of NorESM1-F: a fast version of the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM)– Geoscientific Model Development 2019
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Academic articleOcean Carbon Cycle Feedbacks Under Negative Emissions– Geophysical Research Letters 2018
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Academic articleGlobal Carbon Budget 2018– Earth System Science Data 2018
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Academic articleGlobal Carbon Budget 2017– Earth System Science Data 2018
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Conference lectureOcean Carbon Cycle Feedbacks Under Negative Emissions– Workshop on Extending the Climate-Carbon Cycle Feedback Framework 2018
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Conference lectureC-isotopes in NorESM – status of implementation– Bjerknes mini-workshop on 'Paleo-CO2 variability' 2018
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Conference lectureEarly detection of anthropogenic climate change signal in the interior subpolar North Atlantic oxygen– 50th International Liege Colloquium on Ocean Dynamics 2018
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Conference lectureColumbia Toppforsk project Kick-off meeting– COLUMBIA project kick-off meeting 2018
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Conference lectureObservations-constrained projections reveal early and strong deoxygenation in the interior North Atlantic– AGU Annual meeting 2018 2018
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Conference lectureEarly detection of anthropogenic climate change signal in the interior subpolar North Atlantic– Ocean Deoxygenation Conference 2018
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Academic articleSouthern Ocean controls of the vertical marine δ13C gradient – a modelling study– Biogeosciences 2018
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Conference lectureAmplification of global warming through pH-dependence of DMS-production– GESAMP WG 38 workshop on ‘Impact of Ocean Acidification on Fluxes of non-CO2 Climate-Active Species’ 2017
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Academic articleAmplification of global warming through pH dependence of DMS production simulated with a fully coupled Earth system model– Biogeosciences 2017
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Conference lectureLow and overshoot emission scenarios – from a high to a low carbon society (LOES)– Bjerknes Days 2017 with SAC and EC 2017
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Academic articleNet primary productivity estimates and environmental variables in the Arctic Ocean: An assessment of coupled physical-biogeochemical models– Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR): Oceans 2016
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Academic articleGlobal Carbon Budget 2016– Earth System Science Data 2016
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Conference lectureEVA WP 2: Coupling of DMS emissions - first results– EVA annual meeting 2016 2016
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Conference lectureFrom CMIP5 to CMIP6: New developments for the ocean biogeochemistry module of NorESM– Bjerknes SAC meeting 2016 2016
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Academic articleEvaluation of NorESM-OC (versions 1 and 1.2), the ocean carbon-cycle stand-alone configuration of the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM1)– Geoscientific Model Development 2016