Regional Climate Impacts and Modelling

Sist oppdatert: Jan 22, 2021

The climate science community has high confidence in the broad-brush strokes of the climate change picture. However, many details of the consequences of warming remain obscure. How global warming plays out regionally and what this implies for the likelihood of unexpected consequences, exposure to extreme events and other impacts is not well known. Our research theme aims to improve our scientific understanding of regional change and use this knowledge to better inform society of the emerging risks.

Our research pursues multiple lines of inquiry such as: scenario-based climate projections, seasonal to decadal prediction, hydroclimate impacts, atmospheric circulation changes, extreme events and land-atmosphere interactions.

We employ a range of tools to provide reliable insights on past, present and future change including dynamical and statistical models, remotely sensed data and in-situ observations. We are also expanding our capabilities to include big data analysis and machine learning, in particular for climate prediction, remote sensing and hazard forecasting applications.

We are key partners in national centres such as the Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research and the Norwegian Centre for Climate Service , international initiatives such as the World Climate Research Program sponsored Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiments (CORDEX) and the CORDEX sponsored Flagship Pilot Studies.

Additionally, we collaborate with and provide analysis and input to governmental agencies such as the Norwegian Water and Energy Directorate, the Norwegian Public Roads Administration and the The Norwegian Meteorological Institute.


To be a world leader in basic climate research at local to regional scales and provide scientific basis for climate services and products, which will allow stakeholders to make major, climate-informed, decisions. The quality of the service is only as good as the quality of the science.

Strategic goals:

  1. To advance our understanding of the physical mechanisms that shape regional climate and drive regional climate variability and change.
  2. To investigate the impacts of present and future regional change on both human and natural systems.
  3. To distill basic research into products and services that supports decision-making around climate adaptation and mitigation.