Clear connection between plant growth and sea ice extent
The researchers compared satellite data with daily temperature data from 11 meteorological stations. Summer temperatures are extremely important for Arctic (and especially High Arctic) plant growth, and in Svalbard, there is a clear connection between measurements of vegetation growth and temperatures in June and July.
Some areas show increased plant growth, while others show less response. The study has identified a link between plant growth and sea ice extent. The unusually rapid warming of the northern Barents Sea is due to a strong decline in sea ice.
The researchers also observe local differences in plant growth. The permafrost is thawing, leading to larger areas of water accumulation that impact growth. In some places, reindeer and geese graze, making it difficult to measure the actual amount of plant growth in the area. Additionally, it is uncertain what happens in moss tundra in some areas, as moss-dominated regions are difficult to measure with satellites.
– The greatest increase in plant growth is in eastern Svalbard, on Edgeøya and Barentsøya. There areas have experienced the largest increase in temperatures as there is almost no sea ice left east of Svalbard in the summer. A rough estimate is that there is now about 100,000 tons more dry weight of plants for the whole of Svalbard compared to the cold summer of 2008. The summer of 2008 was one of the last years when sea ice covered the sea areas east of Svalbard for most of the summer, says Karlsen.